Category Archives: Uncategorized

Microsoft No Longer A Presumptive Buy-And-Forget Holding

This article first appeared in the June 7 week-in-review note to Kelly Letter subscribers. We’ve owned shares of Microsoft for almost seven years — with nothing to show for it. I’ve been wrong on the stock, and something is wrong at the company. What is it? Microsoft has been a non-innovator from the start, so […]

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Best Bets For Rising Oil

It’s hard to miss the long-term supply and demand pressures that will push oil prices higher. Almost every investor is aware that oil supply is getting harder to find, while oil demand from growing economies is rising. Furthermore, underinvestment in oil industry infrastructure leaves open the door for an energy shock if a global economic […]

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Rising Rates

Thomas asked, “Are you guys worried about rising interest rates?” Yes, very. Wednesday of last week saw a rough 5-year bond auction that sent 10-year yields higher, to 3.70%. That was the high of the year, and it got traders talking about whether the government had lost its ability to keep rates down. Remember, the […]

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More Upside Ahead

Today’s article comes courtesy of frequent contributor Dave Van Knapp. His site, SensibleStocks.com, is chock full of clear-headed ways to pick stocks and explains the oft-unappreciated role of dividends. This Rally Is Sustainable by Dave Van KnappSensibleStocks.com The blogosphere is full of pundits trashing the current stock market rally. I wrote an article several weeks […]

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5/26/09: Stocks going down, gold going up, another oil shock on the way, North Korea’s nuclear test, and bankrupting Social Security

Bill Fleckenstein thinks stocks will head lower over time, “as the complications from inflation and higher interest rates eventually compress price-to-earnings multiples and expectations are lowered about what sort of earnings power companies actually have.” He’s also certain that “the dollar will head lower and precious metals will trade higher.” He’ll get no argument from […]

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