Category Archives: Kelly Letter Podcast

The Kelly Letter Podcast
Bestselling author Jason Kelly analyzes the stock market through his quarterly price reaction system. Learn about The 3% Signal and its leveraged cousins, The 6% Signal and The 9% Signal. See that forecasting is a fool’s game. Better to react with precision to what has already happened. Topics include: stocks, bonds, ETFs, the Fed, interest rates, yields, and retirement.
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Is Big Tech Finished?

The Economist thinks big tech is finished. Are they right? At the end of last month, The Economist reported that America’s tech oligopoly is in trouble. Defined as MAAMA, the oligopoly in question includes Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple. Their problems include lower stock prices, slower revenue growth, needing to contend with old-economy problems […]

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The Inflation Reduction Act Means Nothing to Inflation

The Inflation Reduction Act means nothing to inflation or stocks, focused as it is on climate change mitigation and healthcare reform. ——— Links to Resources Mentioned “Information About H.R. 5376, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022,” by the Congressional Budget Office, August 6, 2022 “Bill Gates: We’re on the Verge of a Remarkable Moment for […]

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China’s Threats Will Not Harm Stocks

Nancy Pelosi lands in Taiwan, China goes ballistic, but none of this means anything to stock-market investors. ——— Nancy Pelosi Lands in Taiwan On Tuesday night, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrived in Taiwan, defying warnings from China to stay away. It was the highest-level visit by a US official in 25 years. Pelosi is […]

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Jeff Sommer Faces the Fog of Stock Market Uncertainty

Jeff Sommer at The New York Times faced the fog of stock-market uncertainty, and readers attacked him for it. But he wasn’t wrong. The stock market is uncertain, which is why you need a system. ——— Jeff Sommer Faces the Fog In his July 14 installment, “How to Invest When Inflation Is Bad and a […]

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Earnings Season is Not Killing Stocks

Earnings season is not killing stocks, small caps roar back, and doubt about our economic growth model is no reason to abandon stocks. ——— Earnings Season is Not Killing Stocks A few weeks ago, bears warned that if you thought the stock market had been rough this year through June, just you wait until second-quarter […]

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