Moraif: Get Out of Stocks

“Despite a strong 316 point rally on Friday, the market lost almost 1% the week ended February 12th. Very similar to what happened the previous week when we saw big, violent swings on the downside with a strong 396 point rally to finish the week. …

“We are advising our clients to be out of the stock market and on Defense. This means bonds and money market fund both of which have fared well so far this year relative to the stock market as it has fallen off sharply.

“To learn more about playing defense with your portfolio and to help position yourself to take advantage of the opportunities that will present themselves and also to protect yourself from the coming bear market that I see, please schedule a time to come in and visit with our friendly, knowledgeable, and very capable financial advisors.”

— Excerpt contributed by Jason Kelly

_____________________________________

Z-val: Ken Moraif
Via: Money Matters
Date: 2/15/16
Disposition: Medium-Term Bearish
S&P 500 on 2/12/16: 1865
S&P 500 on 8/12/16: 2184
Change: +17.1%
Judgment: Wrong

Z-val definition and more forecasts in The Z-val Zone.

Moraif

Scorecard

This Forecast

Accuracy

of 6

Judged

Forecasts

Created with Snap
This entry was posted in Z-vals and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Both comments and trackbacks are currently closed.

  • Select Your Subscription

    Disciplined, systematic investing with The Kelly Letter signal plans.

    Monthly Plan
    $105
    / month

    Flexible month-to-month access to The Kelly Letter every Sunday, with all Sig plans, the complete user guide, calculator, and subscriber forums.

    • Weekly Kelly Letter
      (Sunday mornings)
    • Podcast of every letter read by Jason
    • All Sig plans (3Sig, 6Sig, 9Sig, Income Sig)
    • Subscriber-only calculator, user guide, and forums
    Best Value
    Annual Plan
    $1050
    / year

    Save 24% vs monthly. Everything in the Monthly Plan plus a complimentary Wall Street Wink subscription. A comprehensive package for disciplined investors.

    • Weekly Kelly Letter (Sunday mornings)
    • Podcast of every letter read by Jason
    • All Sig plans (3Sig, 6Sig, 9Sig,
      Income Sig)
    • Subscriber-only calculator, user guide, and forums
    • Complimentary Wall Street Wink subscription ($120 value)
    • 24% savings compared with monthly
    Wall Street Wink

    Included Free with Annual Plan

    Annual Kelly Letter subscribers get Wall Street Wink at no extra cost.

    Wall Street Wink — Standalone Subscription

    $100
    per year
    / $10
    per month

    Jason Kelly’s midweek market commentary:
    succinct, insightful, and built for busy schedules.

    • Concise single-session reports
    • Informative, readable analysis
    • Does not include The Kelly Letter
Bestselling Financial Author