Stockman: A ‘Disaster Waiting to Happen’

David Stockman has long warned that the stock market is on the verge of a massive collapse, and the recent price action has him even more convinced than ever that the bottom is about to fall out.

“I think it’s pretty obvious that the top is in,” the Reagan administration’s OMB director said Thursday … [He] still believes that the excessive monetary policy from central banks around the world has created a “debt supernova,” and all the signs point to “the end of the central bank enabled bubble,” which could cause a worldwide recession. …

“[T]he world economy, including the US, is heading into what is clearly going to be an epochal deflation to the likes of what we have never experienced in modern time. … The whole global economy since 2008 has been driven forward by this massive investment and construction and borrowing spree in China. The point that I’m making is that it’s over. … the central bank-driven credit economy is over and we are in a new era. It’s a huge disaster waiting to happen.”

— Excerpt contributed by Jason Kelly

_____________________________________

Z-val: David Stockman
Via: CNBC
Date: 8/7/15
Disposition: Short-Term Bearish
S&P 500 on 8/7/15: 2078
S&P 500 on 11/6/15: 2099
Change: +1.0%
Judgment: Wrong

Z-val definition and more forecasts in The Z-val Zone.

Stockman

Scorecard

This Forecast

Accuracy

of 1

Judged

Forecast

Created with Snap
This entry was posted in Z-vals and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Both comments and trackbacks are currently closed.

  • Select Your Subscription

    Disciplined, systematic investing with The Kelly Letter signal plans.

    Monthly Plan
    $105
    / month

    Flexible month-to-month access to The Kelly Letter every Sunday, with all Sig plans, the complete user guide, calculator, and subscriber forums.

    • Weekly Kelly Letter
      (Sunday mornings)
    • Podcast of every letter read by Jason
    • All Sig plans (3Sig, 6Sig, 9Sig, Income Sig)
    • Subscriber-only calculator, user guide, and forums
    Best Value
    Annual Plan
    $1050
    / year

    Save 24% vs monthly. Everything in the Monthly Plan plus a complimentary Wall Street Wink subscription. A comprehensive package for disciplined investors.

    • Weekly Kelly Letter (Sunday mornings)
    • Podcast of every letter read by Jason
    • All Sig plans (3Sig, 6Sig, 9Sig,
      Income Sig)
    • Subscriber-only calculator, user guide, and forums
    • Complimentary Wall Street Wink subscription ($120 value)
    • 24% savings compared with monthly
    Wall Street Wink

    Included Free with Annual Plan

    Annual Kelly Letter subscribers get Wall Street Wink at no extra cost.

    Wall Street Wink — Standalone Subscription

    $100
    per year
    / $10
    per month

    Jason Kelly’s midweek market commentary:
    succinct, insightful, and built for busy schedules.

    • Concise single-session reports
    • Informative, readable analysis
    • Does not include The Kelly Letter
Bestselling Financial Author