Author Archives: Jason Kelly

Should You Avoid Bonds?

SUMMARY: Bill Gross warned investors to watch for the 10-year Treasury yield to exceed 2.6% as a signal that a bear market in bonds had begun. Here we go with another bond market scare, just like the wrong one of 2013 known as the taper tantrum. Market history shows that a rising rate environment causes […]

Posted in Bond Market Forecasts, Kelly Letter Show | Leave a comment

Ignore the Stock Market Permabears Yet Again

SUMMARY: Stock market permabears forever warn about a crash, and for good reason. It makes for reliable marketing because the stock market declines multiple times per year, on average. Soon after making their predictions, the permabears can often say they told us so. What they leave out is that their advice costs investors who follow […]

Posted in Kelly Letter Show, Stock Market Forecasts | 2 Responses

How David Stockman Got the 2016 Stock Market Wrong

SUMMARY: In this video, I remind you of the need to ignore pundit commentary on the stock market. As an example, I shine a light on David Stockman, former director of the Office of Management and Budget in the Reagan Administration, who got the 2016 stock market entirely wrong, pointing investors to the sidelines during […]

Posted in In the Media, Podcast Episode | Tagged | Leave a comment

The Upheaval of 2016

The Upheaval of 2016 by Jason Kelly The polls and the pundits, they got it all wrong, this year’s election that lasted so long. Crowds cheered outsiders from the left and the right, but the pros dismissed both crowds as just impolite. Saying Bernie and Trump did not belong, they flagged Hillary as their winner […]

Posted in US politics | 17 Responses

Here Comes the Stock Market Knee-Jerk

Sam Wang at Princeton Election is going to be eating a bug, after all. He’s the poll aggregator who assigned a greater-than-99% chance of Hillary Clinton winning the presidency, who wrote at Twitter on October 19: “It is totally over. If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug.” Bon appetit, […]

Posted in Stock Market Forecasts | 2 Responses
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